Politics

Tunisia-Vote intentions for legislative elections:39.4% of Tunisians do not know who to vote for

Tunis Survey, a leading expert in online surveys and digital studies, has just disclosed the outcomes of its poll on the voting intentions of Tunisians.

This poll is based on a self-administered online survey which was conducted from December 21, 2020, to January 15th, 2021. Its aim is to distinguish the voting intentions of Tunisians through the principal question: If the Tunisian legislative elections were held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for?

This question was joined with the declared preferences of respondents to the 2019 legislative elections.

It should be reminded that the first wave of November 2020 revealed a noticeable fragility in the electoral rules with sharp intentions for voters to change for the parties they previously voted for before.

For this second wave, the current sample number after the screening is 1715 respondents.

The principal results of 2nd wave 2:

Voting intentions:

39.4% of respondents do not yet know which party to vote for.
23% will vote for the PDL if the legislative elections take place tomorrow
9.4% will vote for Ennahdha
9.1 %% intend to vote for the Al Karama Coalition

Changing voting intention:

96.4% of those who voted Qalb Tounes in 2019 will not vote for it again.
87.3% do not plan to repeat their choice for Tahya Tounes.
74.5% will not vote again for the Democratic Current.
48% of Al Karama colation voters in 2019 will no longer vote for this party.

Changing intention vote, yes but for which party?

For those who previously voted for Qalb Tounes, 60% plan to vote for the Free Constitutional Party.

43.5% who voted for Tahya Tounes intend to vote for the PDL.

58.3% who voted for the of Democratic Current do not know who to vote for.

46.4% of voters leaving Ennahda party said they planned to shift to Al Karama Coalition.

The second wave confirms the vast fluctuations among the voters of the ruling parties, as the biggest loss for voters, was for Qalb Tounes, the third parliamentary bloc in the House of the Representatives of the People, which includes 29 MPs.

The full scan can be ordered at www.tunisia-survey.com.