Tunisienumerique learned from a document acquired today, Tuesday, December 21, 2021, that the administration predicts the inflation rate to reach 7% in 2022, although the International Monetary Fund suggests that it be in the 4% in 2025. This appears unlikely, as the government anticipates it to be in the 4.9% range for the years 2025 and 2026.
In the same context, the government expects the resource mobilization needs to rise by 23,074 million dinars in 2022, against 21,071 million dinars for the current year. According to the same source, the government anticipates achieving a growth rate of 2.6 in 2022, against 2.8% at the ending of the current year, to bring it down to 2.5 in 2023 and 2024, before increasing to 3% in 2025.
The document pointed out that the government expects the budget deficit to be -10699 million dinars, or -7.7% of gross domestic product, against -10417 million dinars for the current year. Correspondingly, the government expects the deficit to narrow in 2023 to -9713 million dinars, to drop to -8423 million dinars in 2024 and to -7304 million dinars in 2025.